Super Nova 1-2 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 29 May 2026

📅29/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
16.01
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
73%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.51
No
49%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
2%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
2%
2/2
46%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
3%
+5.4pp
18%
Draw
12%
+6.0pp
73%
Away Win
84%
-11.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
36%
+15.3pp
49%
BTTS No
64%
-15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 90%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
0.73/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.70
+8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 85%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.0
12.6 Crosses 28.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.54 xG 1.95
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
215 Passes 471
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
02.11.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
10.08.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 3-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
14.06.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
20.04.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-2 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.11.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-3 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-2
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.89 xG 3.11
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 15
136 Passes 391
8 Box Touches 45
9 Crosses 48
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola edged past Super Nova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Super Nova had 32% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 68%, shots finished 4-24, expected goals 0.89 to 3.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Super Nova and 2.83 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Rigas Skola?

Super Nova 1-2 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 9%, draw 18%, Rigas Skola 73%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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29 May 2026
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