Riga FC 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 29 May 2026

📅29/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.18
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
80%
-4.4pp
13%
Draw
14%
-1.5pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.4pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -7%
2.79/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.13
+4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
426 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
31.7 Crosses 13.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Grobina
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.07 xG 0.27
74% Ball Possession 26%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
559 Passes 142
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
37 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2026 Grobina Grobina 0-3 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.11.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
10.08.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
14.06.2025 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.04.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
31.08.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 2-1 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY Grobina
1.81 xG 0.68
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
556 Passes 93
36 Box Touches 5
32 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC beat Grobina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Riga FC had 69% of the ball to Grobina's 31%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.81 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Riga FC and 0.33 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Grobina?

Riga FC 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 75%, draw 13%, Grobina 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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29 May 2026
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