Grobina 0-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
12.23
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
75%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
6%
+4.3pp
15%
Draw
15%
+0.6pp
75%
Away Win
80%
-5.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 84%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.04/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.69/0.81
+18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +26%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
219 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.7
14.0 Crosses 28.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.41 xG 2.37
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
169 Passes 543
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
10.08.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
14.06.2025 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.04.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
31.08.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 2-1 Grobina Grobina LET
22.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-6 HT 0-4 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
0-3
AWAY Riga FC
0.23 xG 1.77
23% Ball Possession 77%
3 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 9
94 Passes 561
57% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 42
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC swept aside Grobina 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grobina had 23% of the ball to Riga FC's 77%, shots finished 3-21, expected goals 0.23 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Grobina and 3.33 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Riga FC?

Grobina 0-3 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Grobina 10%, draw 15%, Riga FC 75%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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