Hume City 1-1 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.14/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.40
-42% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 19.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.32 xG 2.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
270 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-5 HT 1-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
29.07.2023 Hume City Hume City 2-4 HT 1-3 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
30.04.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
02.07.2022 Hume City Hume City 3-1 HT 2-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
01.04.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
19.06.2021 Hume City Hume City 2-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City and Melbourne Knights shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hume City and 2.33 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Melbourne Knights?

Hume City 1-1 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hume City 39%, draw 27%, Melbourne Knights 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hume City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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