Modbury Jets 3-3 South Adelaide Panthers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.59
Over 2.5
73%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
27%
Under 2.5
24%
+3.0pp
73%
Over 2.5
76%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.8pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.43/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.35
+8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modbury Jets
3W-0D-0L
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.04.2024 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 0-4 HT 0-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
09.06.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 2-4 HT 1-1 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
25.03.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 4-3 HT 1-2 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Modbury Jets vs South Adelaide Panthers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modbury Jets and South Adelaide Panthers shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Modbury Jets carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Modbury Jets had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Modbury Jets and 1.67 for South Adelaide Panthers.

What was the final score of Modbury Jets vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Modbury Jets 3-3 South Adelaide Panthers in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modbury Jets vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modbury Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Modbury Jets 60%, draw 19%, South Adelaide Panthers 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modbury Jets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modbury Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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