Perth Glory II 3-4 Balcatta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.3pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Balcatta EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.99/3.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.66
+26% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Balcatta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Balcatta Balcatta 2-2 HT 2-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
10.06.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-3 HT 0-1 Balcatta Balcatta AVNPL
18.03.2023 Balcatta Balcatta 1-2 HT 0-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
30.07.2022 Balcatta Balcatta 3-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
06.05.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-0 HT 0-0 Balcatta Balcatta AVNPL
28.08.2021 Balcatta Balcatta 3-3 HT 1-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
POST-MATCH Perth Glory II vs Balcatta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balcatta edged past Perth Glory II 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Balcatta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perth Glory II and 2.00 for Balcatta.

What was the final score of Perth Glory II vs Balcatta?

Perth Glory II 3-4 Balcatta in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory II vs Balcatta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Balcatta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory II 34%, draw 23%, Balcatta 43%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Balcatta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Balcatta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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