Capital 1-2 Oly Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Capital EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oly Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.31/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.16
+39% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Capital
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Oly Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.07.2023 Capital Capital 0-2 Oly Town Oly Town USL2
POST-MATCH Capital vs Oly Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oly Town nicked a narrow win over Capital 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Oly Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Capital vs Oly Town?

Capital 1-2 Oly Town in the USA - USL League 2 on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Capital vs Oly Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Capital win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Capital 38%, draw 27%, Oly Town 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Capital) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Capital) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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