FC Dallas 2-3 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.21/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.62
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
15.5 Crosses 5.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY San Diego
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.52 xG 2.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 551
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 San Diego 5-0 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
2-3
AWAY San Diego
2.10 xG 2.39
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 565
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
33 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego edged past FC Dallas 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Diego as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 37% of the ball to San Diego's 63%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.10 to 2.39.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs San Diego?

FC Dallas 2-3 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 33%, draw 23%, San Diego 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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