Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Houston Dynamo v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo shaded a tight game against St. Louis City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, St. Louis City saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.54 to 0.30 — on chances created, Houston Dynamo won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Louis City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Houston Dynamo against 1.50 for St. Louis City.
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Result & Final Score
Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 45%, draw 27%, St. Louis City 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.