St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
CON
2-1
HT 0-0
Houston Dynamo
CON
1-1
HT 1-0
St. Louis City
ABD
3-0
HT 1-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
St. Louis City 3-0 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City cruised past Houston Dynamo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; St. Louis City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, St. Louis City had 41% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 59%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.51 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Louis City had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for St. Louis City and 0.60 for Houston Dynamo.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
St. Louis City 3-0 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 37%, draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.