Canberra FC 4-5 Gungahlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
82%
-9.3pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.0pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
4.27/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/6.91
+45% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / -59%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gungahlin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
38 Total Shots 5
19 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
02.05.2025 Gungahlin Gungahlin 0-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
07.09.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 1-1 HT 0-0 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
28.07.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
02.06.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 0-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
14.04.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-4 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
16.09.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 5-2 HT 1-2 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs Gungahlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin squeezed past Canberra FC 5-4 away from home. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Canberra FC carried 73% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Canberra FC and 1.67 for Gungahlin.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs Gungahlin?

Canberra FC 4-5 Gungahlin in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs Gungahlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 73%, draw 14%, Gungahlin 13%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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