FC Astana 3-3 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.53
+19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +35%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
09.03.2025 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
14.09.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
22.06.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
29.07.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
20.05.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 3-2 HT 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
30.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana and Kyzyl-Zhar couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Astana at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Astana and 0.67 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

FC Astana 3-3 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 60%, draw 19%, Kyzyl-Zhar 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Astana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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