Tobol 2-2 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 29 Jun 2025

Tobol
2-2 HT 1-2
Zhenys
📅29/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.09/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.22
+13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Zhenys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.06.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-1 Zhenys KAZKK
08.03.2025 Zhenys 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.10.2024 Zhenys 2-1 HT 2-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
27.04.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-1 HT 1-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol and Zhenys couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Tobol carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tobol and 1.00 for Zhenys.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Zhenys?

Tobol 2-2 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tobol 61%, draw 23%, Zhenys 16%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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