Ordabasy Shymkent 0-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
47%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+8.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.08/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.86
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kairat
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
14.05.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
08.03.2025 Kairat Kairat 4-0 HT 3-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
02.11.2024 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
31.03.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
20.08.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
23.04.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat squeezed past Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.67 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat?

Ordabasy Shymkent 0-1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 27%, draw 25%, Kairat 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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