FK Panevezys 2-4 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.19/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.70
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
03.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
11.08.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
16.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
14.04.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
08.10.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius saw off FK Panevezys 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Zalgiris Vilnius found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.33 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Panevezys 2-4 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 37%, draw 28%, Zalgiris Vilnius 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
29 Jun 2025
16:00 FK Riteriai vs FK Dainava Alytus Analysis →
17:00 FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai Analysis →