Mikkeli 2-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 29 Jul 2026

Mikkeli
2-1 HT 2-1
KaPa
📅29/07/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.4pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.05/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.43
-30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KaPa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2026 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
14.09.2024 KaPa KaPa 3-2 HT 0-2 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
11.07.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-6 HT 1-3 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 4-0 HT 2-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
28.06.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 6-2 HT 4-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
16.04.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
2-1
AWAY KaPa
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mikkeli squeezed past KaPa 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Mikkeli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KaPa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mikkeli and 3.00 for KaPa.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs KaPa?

Mikkeli 2-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mikkeli win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 40%, draw 24%, KaPa 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mikkeli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mikkeli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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