Racing Santander 0-3 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

Racing Santander
0-3 HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
📅29/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 31% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.66
1/2
8%
23.1
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
10%
6.98
X/2
12%
5.14
X/X
13%
5.05
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
29%
2.9
2/X
6%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.92/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.07
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.9

Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
192 Passes 508
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.07.2025 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ
24.07.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ
27.07.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ
04.08.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ
02.12.2016 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-2 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İSPK
22.04.2012 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao swept aside Racing Santander 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Santander and 1.17 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao?

Racing Santander 0-3 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 26%, draw 25%, Athletic Bilbao 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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