Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2024

Racing Santander
1-2 HT 1-0
Athletic Bilbao
📅24/07/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.22
1/2
10%
21.85
1/X
7%
17.8
X/1
9%
11.85
X/2
19%
3.66
X/X
11%
6.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.87
2/X
6%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 66%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.14
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
192 Passes 508
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.07.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ
04.08.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ
02.12.2016 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-2 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İSPK
22.04.2012 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
11.12.2011 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
21.05.2011 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 0-2 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
1-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao nicked a narrow win over Racing Santander 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Racing Santander had 39% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 61%, shots finished 7-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Racing Santander and 1.17 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao?

Racing Santander 1-2 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 22%, draw 24%, Athletic Bilbao 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✗ BTTS No
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