Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Santander v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-0
Athletic Bilbao
HAZ
1-2
HT 1-2
Athletic Bilbao
İSPK
0-1
HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Racing Santander
İS1
Racing Santander 2-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Santander squeezed past Athletic Bilbao 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Racing Santander found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Racing Santander had 34% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 66%, shots finished 10-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Racing Santander and 1.17 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao?
Racing Santander 2-1 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 36%, draw 27%, Athletic Bilbao 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.