Sumqayıt 1-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.34/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.27
+5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shamakhi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-2 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
09.02.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
24.11.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
14.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
16.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
12.02.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt and Shamakhi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sumqayıt at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamakhi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.83 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi?

Sumqayıt 1-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 44%, draw 30%, Shamakhi 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sumqayıt), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
29 Aug 2025
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