FC Levadia 3-1 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.49
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
63%
+4.9pp
16%
Draw
22%
-5.8pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.76/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.98
-13% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.06.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
05.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
05.10.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.10.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
3-1
AWAY Trans Narva
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia beat Trans Narva 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Levadia had 55% of the ball to Trans Narva's 45%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Levadia and 0.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Trans Narva?

FC Levadia 3-1 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 68%, draw 16%, Trans Narva 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →