Gil Vicente 2-0 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.82
2-3 Goals
34%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
6.95
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.2
X/1
15%
4.76
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.85
X/X
24%
3.15
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.09
2/X
6%
15.6
Value flag · X/2 at 5.85 — our 21% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.8pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.8pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -13%
1.46/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.07
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.1 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Moreirense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-1 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.01.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POK
08.11.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 3-2 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
20.04.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 0-1 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
11.12.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
08.04.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
2-0
AWAY Moreirense
0.86 xG 0.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 414
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Moreirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente saw off Moreirense 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 36% — and on the day Gil Vicente made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 46% of the ball to Moreirense's 54%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.86 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.17 for Moreirense.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Moreirense?

Gil Vicente 2-0 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 30%, draw 34%, Moreirense 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moreirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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