Gil Vicente 0-1 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.85
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.64
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
20%
4.88
X/2
14%
6.07
X/X
14%
3.54
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
10%
5.08
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -14%
1.49/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.08
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.0 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Moreirense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
319 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POK
08.11.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 3-2 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
20.04.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 0-1 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
11.12.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
08.04.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
26.11.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
0-1
AWAY Moreirense
0.91 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
424 Passes 292
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Moreirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense nicked a narrow win over Gil Vicente 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 58% of the ball to Moreirense's 42%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.91 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.33 for Moreirense.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Moreirense?

Gil Vicente 0-1 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 42%, draw 27%, Moreirense 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gil Vicente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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