Algeciras 1-1 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.56
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -21%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
218 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Villarreal II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 3-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
09.01.2022 Algeciras Algeciras 2-1 HT 2-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-1
AWAY Villarreal II
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras and Villarreal II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Algeciras had 47% of the ball to Villarreal II's 53%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Algeciras and 2.00 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Villarreal II?

Algeciras 1-1 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 37%, draw 29%, Villarreal II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Algeciras), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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