VfB Oldenburg 0-3 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over Pick
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
43%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +29%
1.74/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.70
-4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-3 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
01.10.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
21.05.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
09.04.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-2 HT 1-2 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
17.11.2019 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II ran out comfortable winners over VfB Oldenburg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Oldenburg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.20 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Holstein Kiel II?

VfB Oldenburg 0-3 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 44%, draw 24%, Holstein Kiel II 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (VfB Oldenburg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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