Real Espana 3-2 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.88/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.94
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-0D-4L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2 Corners 4
29.07.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
29.04.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
05.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-3 HT 1-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
09.11.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
14.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana edged past CD Real Sociedad 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Real Sociedad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Espana and 1.50 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad?

Real Espana 3-2 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 53%, draw 30%, CD Real Sociedad 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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