Omiya Ardija (K) 0-4 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.40/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.48
-51% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-4
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) swept aside Omiya Ardija (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Cerezo Osaka (K) made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 39% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 61%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-4 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 33%, draw 29%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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