Aalesund II 1-2 Lorenskog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
19%
4.34
Away Pick
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.96
Over
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lorenskog win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
59%
Away Win
61%
-2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorenskog EU Bookmakers 66%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
1.96/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/0.90
+23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +68%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lorenskog
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
21.07.2024 Lorenskog Lorenskog 5-1 HT 2-1 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
POST-MATCH Aalesund II vs Lorenskog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorenskog edged past Aalesund II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lorenskog as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Aalesund II vs Lorenskog?

Aalesund II 1-2 Lorenskog in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund II vs Lorenskog?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aalesund II 22%, draw 19%, Lorenskog 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorenskog), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorenskog) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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