Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.45/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.29
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Boston River
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
16.03.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
29.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
28.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
09.10.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 1-1 Boston River Boston River URU
17.05.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-1
AWAY Boston River
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and Boston River couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 50% of the ball to Boston River's 50%, shots finished 21-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 41%, draw 32%, Boston River 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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