Lorient 4-2 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.2
X/1
23%
3.64
X/2
7%
14.3
X/X
6%
6.83
2/1
10%
21.2
2/2
7%
10.8
2/X
6%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
2.55/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.51
+27% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.5 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
4-2
AWAY Dunkerque
2.03 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
279 Passes 356
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient saw off Dunkerque 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lorient had 46% of the ball to Dunkerque's 54%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 2.03 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Dunkerque?

Lorient 4-2 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lorient 60%, draw 21%, Dunkerque 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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