Guingamp vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guingamp v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Ajaccio
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Ajaccio
FR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Guingamp
FR2
2-2
HT 0-1
Ajaccio
FR2
Guingamp 1-0 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp squeezed past Ajaccio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Guingamp had 55% of the ball to Ajaccio's 45%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.72 to 0.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guingamp and 1.00 for Ajaccio.
What was the final score of Guingamp vs Ajaccio?
Guingamp 1-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Ajaccio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 50%, draw 26%, Ajaccio 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.