Troyes vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Pau
FR2
Troyes 3-0 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes swept aside Pau 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Troyes found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Troyes had 37% of the ball to Pau's 63%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 3.50 to 0.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Troyes and 0.75 for Pau.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Pau?
Troyes 3-0 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Troyes 34%, draw 27%, Pau 39%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.