Red Star FC 93 1-0 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.33
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
9%
7.11
X/2
21%
4.49
X/X
11%
4.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.8
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
51%
Away Win
46%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.06/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.81
-10% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.1 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Metz
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.75 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
288 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2019 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 1-1 Metz Metz FR2
04.12.2018 Metz Metz 2-0 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
25.10.2017 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FRLK
22.04.2016 Metz Metz 2-0 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
01.12.2015 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 3-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
1-0
AWAY Metz
0.09 xG 0.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 13
269 Passes 523
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 edged past Metz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Metz at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 36% of the ball to Metz's 64%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.09 to 0.94 — on chances, Metz could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 1.60 for Metz.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Metz?

Red Star FC 93 1-0 Metz in the France - Ligue 2 on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 25%, draw 24%, Metz 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Metz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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