Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
0-3
HT 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
2-4
HT 0-2
Arsenal
İNP
Arsenal 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal saw off Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arsenal had 50% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 50%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.21 to 1.62 — on chances, Brighton & Hove Albion could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arsenal and 1.17 for Brighton & Hove Albion.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Arsenal 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - League Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 45%, draw 27%, Brighton & Hove Albion 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.