Liverpool 0-3 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
15%
7.15
X/2
12%
5.17
X/X
8%
5.26
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
19%
2.87
2/X
8%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.77/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.59
+150% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.1 Crosses 22.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.80 xG 1.85
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
559 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
10.08.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-2 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool İCS
25.05.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
05.10.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
14.04.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
09.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
0-3
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.50 xG 1.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
477 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace cruised past Liverpool 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool had 58% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 42%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.50 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Liverpool and 1.17 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Liverpool 0-3 Crystal Palace in the England - League Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 35%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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