Newcastle United 2-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.62
X/2
5%
8.81
X/X
7%
5.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
2/2
11%
6.3
2/X
6%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
52%
+5.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.06/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.94
-39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
11.7 Crosses 8.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tottenham
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.23 xG 1.70
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
290 Passes 446
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Tottenham Tottenham 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United HAZ
04.01.2025 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 1-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
01.09.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
22.05.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United HAZ
13.04.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-0 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
10.12.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 2-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United got the better of Tottenham 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newcastle United and 1.33 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Tottenham?

Newcastle United 2-0 Tottenham in the England - League Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 58%, draw 21%, Tottenham 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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