Dynamo Kiev 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
52%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
52%
Away Win
45%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 49%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.09
+88% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKRK
27.04.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
27.10.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
11.05.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.11.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
22.04.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
2-1
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev nicked a narrow win over Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev had 58% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 42%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 1.17 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Dynamo Kiev 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 24%, draw 24%, Shakhtar Donetsk 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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