Fortuna Köln 4-0 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Nov 2025

Fortuna Köln
4-0 HT 3-0
Sportfreunde Lotte
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Köln v Sportfreunde Lotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.84/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.54
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.03.2025 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
21.09.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
15.02.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
27.02.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-2 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
03.10.2020 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln swept aside Sportfreunde Lotte 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.17 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Fortuna Köln 4-0 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 46%, draw 31%, Sportfreunde Lotte 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Under 2.5
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