Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
-0.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
1.89/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.35
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
19.07.2025 Llantwit Major 1-2 HT 1-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALLK
02.11.2024 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
23.08.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-3 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
20.01.2024 Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
06.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
25.03.2023 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major nicked a narrow win over Afan Lido 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.17 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 63%, draw 21%, Afan Lido 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✗ Over 2.5
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