Excelsior 1-0 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Nov 2025

Excelsior
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
NAC Breda
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.11
Over
60%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.52
No
39%
2.34
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.27
2-3
45%
1.88
4-5
28%
2.91
6+
8%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.42
1/2
3%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.85
X/2
12%
6.38
X/X
14%
5.25
2/1
3%
24.85
2/2
21%
3.92
2/X
6%
12.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Excelsior v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Excelsior The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY NAC Breda The Market 38%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
1.54 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.87
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Bad
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
1W-2D-3L
AWAY NAC Breda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.12 xG 2.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
352 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.07.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HAZ
02.06.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 4-1 HT 3-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
28.05.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 6-2 HT 3-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
22.07.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HAZ
06.05.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 2-2 HT 1-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
01.10.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2

Excelsior 1-0 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
1 - 0
AWAY NAC Breda
0.94 xG 1.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
264 Passes 362
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Excelsior vs NAC Breda
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Excelsior squeezed past NAC Breda 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 26% / 36%); Excelsior picked one for it. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Excelsior had 43% of the ball to NAC Breda's 57%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.94 to 1.57 — on chances, NAC Breda could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Excelsior and 2.67 for NAC Breda.

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Result & Final Score

Excelsior 1 - 0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 38%, draw 26%, NAC Breda 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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