NEC Nijmegen 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.63
Draw
21%
3.95
Away
19%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.35
Over Pick
65%
1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.52
No
40%
2.34
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.3
2-3
43%
2.0
4-5
31%
2.63
6+
11%
6.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
2.07
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.55
X/2
7%
10.25
X/X
12%
6.63
2/1
4%
19.45
2/2
10%
7.13
2/X
5%
15.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME NEC Nijmegen The Market 61%
Signal
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam The Market 24%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.48 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
0.95 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Great
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
385 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 HT 1-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
15.12.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
24.02.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
01.09.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
28.01.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
16.10.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
3 - 1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
2.78 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
293 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

NEC Nijmegen put daylight between themselves and Sparta Rotterdam 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: NEC Nijmegen had 52% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 48%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.78 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.17 for Sparta Rotterdam.

NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam Result & Final Score

NEC Nijmegen 3 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 60%, draw 21%, Sparta Rotterdam 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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