Linfield FC 3-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
69%
+2.2pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.9pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.4pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.40/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.36
+8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
11.01.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
03.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
21.09.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
13.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
26.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-3 HT 2-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
18.02.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC saw off Carrick Rangers 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Linfield FC and 0.83 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Linfield FC 3-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 71%, draw 16%, Carrick Rangers 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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