Glenavon FC 3-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.78
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
12%
6.45
X/2
14%
4.9
X/X
15%
4.69
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.15
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.20/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.96
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ballymena United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
19.04.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
12.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-1 HT 2-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.04.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC got the better of Ballymena United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Glenavon FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.17 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

Glenavon FC 3-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 33%, draw 27%, Ballymena United 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballymena United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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