Novi Pazar vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novi Pazar v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals
Novi Pazar vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
0-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
Novi Pazar 2-1 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics
Novi Pazar nicked a narrow win over Napredak Krusevac 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Novi Pazar had 57% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 43%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.84 to 0.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Novi Pazar's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.33 for Napredak Krusevac.
What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Napredak Krusevac?
Novi Pazar 2-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Napredak Krusevac?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 59%, draw 22%, Napredak Krusevac 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.