Portsmouth 2-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Dec 2025

Portsmouth
2-1 HT 0-0
Charlton Athletic
📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Portsmouth vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.17
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.58
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
13%
4.96
X/2
7%
6.06
X/X
19%
3.78
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
4.88
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portsmouth v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.47/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.61
+24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
26.1 Crosses 15.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Portsmouth vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
295 Passes 237
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
11.11.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-2 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
01.01.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-3 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
17.10.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
31.01.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
25.09.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1

Portsmouth 2-1 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
2-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.74 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
271 Passes 197
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth nicked a narrow win over Charlton Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portsmouth as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portsmouth had 55% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 45%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.74 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portsmouth and 2.00 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Charlton Athletic?

Portsmouth 2-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - Championship on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 44%, draw 29%, Charlton Athletic 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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