Oxford United vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oxford United v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Oxford United vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
Swansea City
HAZ
2-2
HT 0-2
Swansea City
İNLK
3-2
HT 1-1
Swansea City
FAK
Oxford United 0-1 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City squeezed past Oxford United 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Swansea City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Oxford United had 47% of the ball to Swansea City's 53%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.48 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oxford United and 1.83 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Oxford United vs Swansea City?
Oxford United 0-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 34%, draw 29%, Swansea City 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.