West Bromwich 2-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.42
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.44
X/2
9%
8.7
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1
11%
24.0
2/2
9%
6.81
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
West Bromwich win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.48/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.29
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.3 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
360 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 3-1 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
08.03.2025 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
10.08.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-3 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
06.03.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-2 HT 1-2 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
24.10.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
10.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-2 HT 2-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
2-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.48 xG 0.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
332 Passes 415
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich squeezed past Queens Park Rangers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, West Bromwich had 45% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 55%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 1.48 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold West Bromwich's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for West Bromwich and 1.33 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Queens Park Rangers?

West Bromwich 2-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 52%, draw 24%, Queens Park Rangers 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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