Guanacasteca 1-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.20/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.04
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
19.09.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
05.09.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTK
08.04.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-0 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
29.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.10.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
1-1
AWAY Puntarenas FC
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca and Puntarenas FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 43% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 57%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.17 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Puntarenas FC?

Guanacasteca 1-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 36%, draw 29%, Puntarenas FC 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
30 Jan 2025
04:00 San Carlos vs Alajuelense Analysis →
05:00 Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles Analysis →