Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
2.04/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.17
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-3 HT 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
15.09.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
05.09.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTK
13.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 2-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
11.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
1-0
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa nicked a narrow win over Santos de Guapiles 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 57% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 43%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.33 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles?

Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 54%, draw 24%, Santos de Guapiles 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
30 Jan 2025
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