Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
23%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.69
Over
43%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.63
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.3
6+
3%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.6
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
18%
4.39
X/2
10%
8.3
X/X
18%
4.21
2/1
2%
28.0
2/2
12%
6.95
2/X
5%
15.4
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Moreirense The Market 26%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Moreirense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.79 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
325 Passes 297
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Moreirense Moreirense 2-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
30.03.2025 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
03.11.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
30.03.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
05.11.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
03.04.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
1 - 0
AWAY Moreirense
1.79 xG 0.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 395
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vitoria Guimaraes came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Moreirense 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 43% of the ball to Moreirense's 57%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.79 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vitoria Guimaraes's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.83 for Moreirense.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Result & Final Score

Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 48%, draw 29%, Moreirense 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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