Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vitoria Guimaraes v Moreirense — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Moreirense 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 43% of the ball to Moreirense's 57%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.79 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vitoria Guimaraes's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.83 for Moreirense.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Result & Final Score
Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 48%, draw 29%, Moreirense 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.